Description of how climate change factors have been taken into account in judgements and estimates

Rolls-Royce Holdings plc – Annual report – 31 December 2024

Industry: aerospace

1 Accounting policies (extract)

Climate change

In preparing the Consolidated Financial Statements the Directors have considered the potential impact of climate change, particularly in the context of the disclosures included in the 2024 Strategic Report that set out climate-related commitments, targets and the four pillars of the Rolls-Royce energy transition strategy which are:

  • decarbonising operations, facilities, product testing and business activities. This will be met through a combination of procuring clean energy, reducing overall energy demand, and clean power generation. An estimate of the investment required to meet Scope 1 + 2 emission improvements is included in the forecasts that support these Consolidated Financial Statements;
  • enabling customers to operate their products in a way that is compatible with low or net zero carbon emissions. The Group is working with customers to enable them to operate products in a way that is compatible with net zero emissions. This means further the advancing the efficiency and environmental performance of the Group’s engine and technology portfolio and ensuring compatibility with sustainable fuels. Within Power Systems, 80% of the Group’s portfolio is compatible with alternative and sustainable fuels. The Group has demonstrated that all the commercial aero engines it produces are compatible for use with sustainable fuels and is also working with its armed forces customers, such as the RAF, on the use of SAF blends;
  • delivering new products and solutions that can accelerate the global energy transition. This includes the development and deployment of small modular reactors (SMRs) and, in Power Systems, battery energy storage solutions is a growth area. In 2024, research and development (R&D) costs of £133m (2023: £137m) within New Markets included investment to successfully complete Step 2 of the Generic Design Assessment (GDA) by the UK nuclear industry’s independent regulators and movement into the third and final step. Future investment required to deliver these technologies is included in the forecasts that support the Consolidated Financial Statements; and by
  • supporting the necessary enabling environment, with public and policy support, to achieve collective climate goals. This involves actively engaging with policy makers, regulators and others to advocate for the necessary policy and economic support we have identified.

The climate change scenarios previously prepared to assess the viability of our business strategy, decarbonisation plans and approach to managing climate-related risk have continued to develop over the last year as set out in our Strategic Review. The scenarios are used to help assess the Group’s strategic resilience to climate change and the energy transition. Consideration is made of how each of them impacts: the life of assets; future revenue projections; future profitability; and whether additional costs may occur. There remains inherent uncertainty around how the scenarios will impact the Group. The Directors assess the assumptions on a regular basis to ensure that they are consistent with the risk management activities and the commitments made to investors and other stakeholders.

Based on the Taskforce for Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) recommendations, the Group assesses the potential impact of climate-related risks which cover transition and physical risks and opportunities. The Group has identified four key transition risks (relating to changing customer demand, changes in cost due to carbon pricing, changes in cost due to commodity price changes and change in investment requirements) and three key physical risks (relating to facility disruption, supply chain disruption and impact on product performance) which may arise from the energy transition. The transition risks are the most likely to have an impact on the Consolidated Financial Statements, as exposure to physical risks will be greater in the longer term.

The key sources of estimation uncertainty at the balance sheet date are set out on page 125 and the Directors have considered the impact of climate change on those estimates. The key assumptions used in this assessment are consistent with those used in the climate scenarios presented in the Strategic Review. A summary of the assessment is set out below.

1 Based on the IEA Net Zero by 2050 scenario ($71 per tonne of carbon in 2024 to $250 in 2050)

2 Commodity prices from the Oxford Economics, Global Climate Service and Databank

Items that may be impacted by climate-related risks, but which are not considered to be key areas of judgements or sources of estimation uncertainty in the current financial year are outlined on below.

Useful lives of assets – The useful lives of property, plant and equipment and right-of-use assets could be reduced by climate-related matters, for example, as a result of physical risks, obsolescence or legal restrictions. The change in useful lives would have a direct impact on the amount of depreciation or amortisation recognised each year from the date of reassessment. The Directors’ review of useful lives has taken into consideration the impacts of the Group’s decarbonisation strategy and has not had a material impact on the results for the year. The Directors have also considered the remaining useful economics lives of material intangible assets, including the £2,001m and £632m capitalised development spend associated with the Trent and business aviation programmes disclosed in note 9. Given the measures the Group is taking, including demonstration that all the commercial aero-engines and 80% of the portfolio in Power Systems are compatible with alternative and sustainable fuels, the Directors judge that no adjustment is required to the useful economic lives.

Inventory valuationClimate-related matters may affect the value of inventories as a result of a decline in selling prices or could become obsolete due to a reduction in demand. After consideration of the typical stock-turns of the inventory in relation to the rate of change in the market the Directors consider that inventory is appropriately valued.

Recoverability of trade receivables and contract assets – The impact of climate-related matters could have an impact on the Group’s customers in the future, especially those customers in the Civil Aerospace business. No material climate-related issues have arisen during the year that have impacted the assessment of the recoverability of receivables. The Group’s expected credit loss (ECL) provision uses credit ratings which inherently will include the market’s assessment of the climate change impact on credit risk of the counter parties. Given the maturity time of trade receivables and the majority of contract assets, climate change is unlikely to cause a material increase on counter party credit risk in that time.

Share-based payments – The Group is committed to achieving net zero by 2050. The first phase of a sustainability strategic review was completed during 2024 and the Group has committed to reduce the total Scope 1 + 2 greenhouse gas emissions from its facilities, operations and testing by 46% by the end of 2030 (against a baseline of 2019). This metric accounts for 10% of the long-term incentive plan for awards granted from 2025, with performance measured against three-year cumulative targets.

Defined benefit pension plans – Climate-related risks could affect the financial position of defined benefit pension plans. As a result, this could have implications on the expected return on plan assets and measurement of defined benefit liabilities in future years. The Trustee of the Rolls-Royce UK Pension Fund meet the climate-related regulatory requirements. When making decisions about the plan, its analysis is carried out in a way consistent with TCFD. The Trustee has set a net zero target for the plan assets by 2050. Having assessed the risks and opportunities of climate change and considered the nature of the assets of the fund, climate change is unlikely to have a material impact on the position in the Consolidated Financial Statements.

Going concern – Given the short-term nature of the Group’s going concern assessment, the impact of climate change does not have a significant impact. The Directors have considered the level of liquidity available, and the potential impact of the climate change risks, in making their assessment.

Page 125 (extract)

Key areas of judgement and sources of estimation uncertainty

The determination of the Group’s accounting policies requires judgement. The subsequent application of these policies requires estimates, and the actual outcome may differ from that calculated. The key judgements and key sources of estimation uncertainty at the balance sheet date, that have a significant risk of causing material adjustment to the carrying amounts of assets and liabilities within the next financial year, are summarised below. Further details, together with sensitivities for key sources of estimation uncertainty where appropriate and practicable, are included within the significant accounting policies section of this note.